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    "Only the madman is absolutely sure"
    "You can’t convince a believer of anything; for their belief is not based on evidence, it’s based on a deep seated need to believe" - Sagan via butdoesitfloat.com

    Was reading this paper entitled "Increased Hindsight Bias in Schizophrenia" -

    http://web.uvic.ca/psyc/lindsay/publications/2006WoodwardEtAl.pdf

    It reveals that people with schizophrenia have an issue with information that comes up closer to the present moment interfering with their reasoning - That is, more recently received information carries more weight, leading to something called the "Hindsight bias", which can simply be explained by the phrase "I KNEW IT ALL ALONG!", which is why they alternately refer to it as the KIA bias.

    It suggests that patients should be taught metacognition skills in order to overcome these biases:

    "An alternative approach for future research is the investigation of neurocognitive rehabilitation programs that involve metacognitive skill training (Moritz, Burlon, & Woodward, 2005). Patients could be made more aware of common cognitive biases and how to overcome them (e.g., past memories can provide a stabilizing influence over current perceptions of reality) and/or could be cautioned against trusting partial information. Similarly, patients with schizophrenia could be taught ways to confirm hypotheses in a more stringent manner (e.g., according to the scientific method). It is important for patients to understand the fallibility of human recollection in general and their own in particular. When information is not available, judgments should be made with caution, and additional evidence (e.g., “anchor” persons such as close relatives) should be consulted for confirmation."


    Google image search "Metacognition" and escher comes up. Nice.




    However, I see a huge problem with the entire world being subject to a lack of metacognition (That is, thinking about thought itself), and a lack of knowledge about the fact that everyone's own linguistic processes are pretty much conspiring against themselves in many many ways. To quote burroughs via folkert, "From symbiosis to parasitism is a short step. The word is now a virus. The flu virus may once have been a healthy lung cell. It is now a parasitic organism that invades and damages the lungs. The word may once have been a healthy neural cell. It is now a parasitic organism that invades and damages the central nervous system". Knowledge of metacognition is a new enough thing that Firefox's dictionary is thinking that it's not even a word as I'm writing this. In fact there's an entire astounding and wonderful list of these issues which could be helped out with a bit of metacognition, issues within you and I that you may have never been aware of until now:

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_cognitive_biases

    People take the idea that our perceptions are infallible all the time for granted, without thinking contrary to that at all, because it's not something that comes as an instinctual thought process. I'm pretty sure that there's a general idealism that if you aren't taking your own convicted perceptions seriously, then you're doing it wrong. It's the opposite way around. It's not even those who are designated insane who have issues with these things. It's pretty much everyone I encounter every day, including myself (Although I'm taking steps on working on that).

    They say prevention is the best medicine. Wouldn't a worldwide educational project based upon teaching metacognition skills and about cognitive biases benefit humanity in a huge way? Or is this too much against the grain for those who understand cognitive biases in a way that allows them to gain an upper hand on those who don't know themselves? Also, would this cause more {meta?!}-biases to arise?

    The easiest way to control others, I'd imagine, is making it so those others forget (Or maybe even never learn in the first place) how to control themselves. The majority of people I know don't have a handle on themselves these days. I'd love to see that change.

    (title also found via butdoesitfloat.com which is something I appreciate a lot for bringing me a lot of beautiful things. It's a quote from robert anton wilson)

    ( edit / delete )  Mon, Aug 23, 2010  Permanent link

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    Comments:


    sjef     Tue, Aug 24, 2010  Permanent link
    For accessible, well written explanations of cognitive biases just remember; you are not so smart.
         Tue, Aug 24, 2010  Permanent link
    That's a great website. thanks for the link!
         Tue, Aug 24, 2010  Permanent link
    However, I think the best thing for preventing the problem of worldwide cognitive bias poisoning (as a serious project) would involve a lot more than just a blog. I'm thinking that if there was some infographs, some videos, some home expeiriment-able examples, some fictional narratives, etc... that the range of people that this kind of healing information could reach is a lot more than I see it being today. Is anyone with creative skills reading this interested?

    (anyone outside of spacecollective can reach me at dmitridb {{at}} g mail {{dot}}com )
    dragon     Thu, Nov 18, 2010  Permanent link
    So we wish to advertise metacognition as an everyday activity for all of the boys and girls. A vital instrument in their education and development. We tell them it's the art of thinking about thinking, being able to question yourself and analyze your emotions.

    Everybody has their doubts. There are many unanswerable questions. There is a great revolution waiting to happen across the world, if people become aware of some things. But suburbia is not structured solidly - or perhaps, flimsily - enough for a simple transition. There is a potential for immense, wide-spread, chaos.

    It is easy to imagine how much better off your friends would be if they were able to think like you did. Or at least to some degree. But if everybody was as consciously aware of my personal doubts as I am - apologies for barking up my own tree - but I don't think it would be better than it is now, with everyone living in ignorance.

    Still I have a few creative skills, or at least I pretend. I'm actually constructing a project that might generate some overlap with your ideas, though I'm not sure of the best way to share it...
         Fri, Nov 19, 2010  Permanent link
    What's this project about?
    dragon     Wed, Nov 24, 2010  Permanent link
    a collection of short stories about individualism, subjectivity and freedom.
         Thu, Nov 25, 2010  Permanent link
    Nice, looking forward :)
    Olena     Fri, Dec 3, 2010  Permanent link
    I love this post...

    For the past couple of years I've been seriously uncomfortable because of the need to question everything, which leads to the "problem" of lacking assurance... it's somewhat taxing to be constantly in doubt. But I think part of the reason for the negative view of doubt is that we live in this society which places a HUGE emphasis on "self confidence". The business model. Because if you're not confident, you can't act or be productive or get your raise.
    Of course there is a difference between confidence (proceeding despite) and lack of doubt... but that line can be blurry.
    Olena     Fri, Dec 3, 2010  Permanent link
    P.S. I've been reading Fuller's "Manual" and what you said about our lack of the word metacognition (Firefox prefers meta-cognition apparently...) in every day language reminds me of what he said about lacking the word "synergy". Funny, seeing those two thoughts together and thinking about what it means about "us".
         Sat, Dec 4, 2010  Permanent link
    Healthy self-confidence seems to me rooted in being able to make mistakes and deal with the consequences without emotional impact holding you back, then being able to try again until you get good results. This is made much easier by being mindful of other people's patterns of mistakes, critically analyzing them, and not making them yourself.

    People should not entertain any absolute doubts as much as they should hold any absolute beliefs, and they should pick their choices according to a plan that holistically considers all the probabilities of each choice having a good outcome, and the best kind of good choice replicates itself into more opportunities for good choices, which is also something that can be recognized when you know how to focus on it. Technology's definitely something that is involving this emergent process on a level where we have potential for new ways of mapping this all, and mapping better outcomes for ourselves.


    The term synergy was refined by R. Buckminster Fuller who analyzed some of its implications more fully[9] and coined the term Synergetics.[10] Synergy can be understood as the opposite of the concept entropy. Hence it was perhaps more of a 'discovery' etymologically speaking.

    * A dynamic state in which combined action is favored over the difference of individual component actions.
    * Behavior of whole systems unpredicted by the behavior of their parts taken separately, known as emergent behavior.
    * The cooperative action of two or more stimuli (or drugs), resulting in a different or greater response than that of the individual stimuli.


    This mention of synergy is something I relate in my thoughts right now to this:


    The evolution of life and intelligence on Earth has finally reached the point where it is now deemed possible to engender something almost out of nothing. In principle, a universe of possible worlds based on generative principles inherent within nature and the physical universe is considered to be within the realm of the computable once quantum computing systems become a reality. For the first time, humankind is finally in possession of the power to change and transform the genetic constitution of biological species, which, without a doubt, has profound implications for the future of life on Earth. By bringing into the foreground the hidden reservoir of life in all its potential manifestations through the manipulation of the genetic code, the unmasking or the transgression of what could be considered the first principle of prohibition – the taking into possession of what was once presumed to be the power of God to create life – may lead to conditions that are so precarious and treacherous as to even threaten the future viability of the species, Homosapiens, on Earth. At the same time, depending on how humankind navigates into the universe of possible worlds that are about to be siphoned through computation, it could once again bring forth a poetic re-enchantment of the world, one that resonates with all the attributes of a premodern era derived, in this instance, from the intersection of the seemingly irreconcilable domains of logos and mythos. Organically interconnected to form a new plane of immanence that is digital, computation is the modern equivalent of a global alchemical system destined to transform the world into the sphere of hyper-intelligent beings.

    The power of computation is already evident in the fact that in less than 70 years since the inception of the Universal Turing Machine, it has ushered in the Information Revolution by giving rise to one of the most significant and now indispensable phenomenon in the history of communication: the Internet or, what could also be characterised as the universe of the Adjacent Possible. Stuart Kauffman defines the Adjacent Possible as the expansion of the networks of reaction graphs within an interactive system into the neighbourhood domain of connectivity which until then remain only in a state of pure potentiality. He suggests that: ‘The Universe has not explored all possible kinds of people, legal systems, economies or other complex systems,’ and that ‘autonomous Agents tend to arrange work and coordination so that they are expanding into the Adjacent Possible as fast as they can get away with it.’


    (From this excellent read: http://futurefeeder.com/wp-content/6chuCorr.pdf  )
         Sat, Dec 4, 2010  Permanent link
    I also feel I should mention Systems Thinking:


    Systems Thinking has been defined as an approach to problem solving, by viewing "problems" as parts of an overall system, rather than reacting to specific part, outcomes or events and potentially contributing to further development of unintended consequences. Systems thinking is not one thing but a set of habits or practices within a framework that is based on the belief that the component parts of a system can best be understood in the context of relationships with each other and with other systems, rather than in isolation. Systems thinking focuses on cyclical rather than linear cause and effect.
    -wikipedia

    Another good read, from Dancing With Systems:

    Systems thinking leads to another conclusion–however, waiting, shining, obvious as soon as we stop being blinded by the illusion of control. It says that there is plenty to do, of a different sort of "doing." The future can't be predicted, but it can be envisioned and brought lovingly into being. Systems can't be controlled, but they can be designed and redesigned. We can't surge forward with certainty into a world of no surprises, but we can expect surprises and learn from them and even profit from them. We can't impose our will upon a system. We can listen to what the system tells us, and discover how its properties and our values can work together to bring forth something much better than could ever be produced by our will alone.


    "The best way to predict the future is to invent it" -Alan Kay

    “One cannot change an existing system; one must create a new system that makes the old system obsolete.” - Buckminster Fuller
         Sat, Dec 4, 2010  Permanent link
    And I just discovered what's been termed 'systems intelligence', which looks really interesting:

     http://www.sal.hut.fi/Publications/pdf-files/systemsintelligence2004.pdf 
    Olena     Thu, Dec 9, 2010  Permanent link
    dmitri,
    Thank you so much for linking to that pdf. I started reading it and the ideas within are especially helpful right now... I'm working on my thesis, and somehow, in accordance with my "operating system" theme, it's become totally about systems & scientific perception. I'm hoping to find some goods in here, since they're been working on this much longer than I have.

    But, there's something interesting in it already that maybe I shouldn't be disappointed in yet, as I'm only 2 chapters in... the way they write about Systems Thinking still seems classical to me. That is, they wrote of the idea that systems thinking means changing one's perception from the old mode of seeing the world in terms of "separate things", the Newtonian way, but part of this thing reads like self-help literature in how they refer to certain situations... for example, I looked through the contents and I see things like "systems thinking and business". It doesn't seem that they've developed the idea that the individual himself is a system. They are not thinking about us within the atomic or sub-atomic realm; it's still classical systems.

    Buuuut like I said, I'm not far in enough to know for sure.

    And this:
    “One cannot change an existing system; one must create a new system that makes the old system obsolete.” - Buckminster Fuller

    I find these ideas, and ideas in contemporary physics, so exciting... but it's the most difficult thing to talk about. SC is it's own little bubble and there are other bubbles that this can be discussed in, but mostly, people turn away swiftly. I don't blame them; our "economic system" is such that it's just too strenuous.

    But how can you speak a new language with people who don't yet understand it? Who almost refuse to understand it?
    HelloAlexCL     Sat, Dec 11, 2010  Permanent link
    Zen Master Dogen said that “not knowing is the most intimate thing.” Not knowing means to be open to all eventualities, to not prejudge a person or situation. If your mind is full of preconceived notions, there is no room for an unbiased view. It is like when your hands are full of objects, you cannot pick up anything new. A closed mind causes separation and suspicion. Like an umbrella, a mind is only useful when it is open. The first step toward maintaining an open mind is to understand the nature of mind or self.

    -Gerry Shishin Wick

    in other words, the first step is metacognition! I think the traditions of meditation of the east provide the most effective means for nurturing this kind of thought.
         Mon, Dec 13, 2010  Permanent link
    - But how can you speak a new language with people who don't yet understand it? Who almost refuse to understand it?

    I always thought artistic moves towards this were a good idea. If you make moves beyond the medium of speech, then people start to pay attention. I think you got a lot of capacity as a talented artist for making that happen.

    - in other words, the first step is metacognition! I think the traditions of meditation of the east provide the most effective means for nurturing this kind of thought.

    I went to a zen meditation center a few weeks ago, was cool. I've enjoyed the concepts of buddhist meditation practice for years but never practiced them 'formally', just stuff I learned on the internet about meditation. I like looking up stuff Alan Watts had to say, and this:http://www.zencast.org/

    A lot of people don't realize how fun meditation can be.
     
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